Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Current Prediction Market Odds Updated hourly
18%
Yes
82%
No
Volume 24h: $413.4K Total volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $63.6K

horizon, allowing for geopolitical

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, p

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Market resolves: 2026-11-01

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