US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
90%
Yes
10%
No
Volume 24h: $167.8K
Total volume: $673.2K
Liquidity: $155.8K
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About this market
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones
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Market resolves: 2026-08-31