Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
The 28% "Yes" price offers an attractive contrarian value bet, as it underprices Netanyahu’s historical resilience, his solid coalition math that avoids an immediate election, and the high fragmentation among opposition parties. Investors should buy "Yes" given the high liquidity ($381k 24h volume), but carefully hedge against tail risks such as sudden health issues or an immediate coalition collapse driven by the ongoing war.
About this market
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will
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Market resolves: 2026-10-28