Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
4%
Yes
96%
No
Volume 24h: $191.6K
Total volume: $40.2M
Liquidity: $542.2K
This market'
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Natio
Think you have an edge? Share your analysis or trade this market.
Market resolves: 2026-12-31