Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
4%
Yes
96%
No
Volume 24h: $163.5K
Total volume: $3.3M
Liquidity: $157.2K
With Messi's age and a new generation of talent emerging, the 95% "No" odds present a high-probability, low-return opportunity to bet against him. Conversely, the 5% "Yes" odds offer a speculative, high-reward play if you believe Messi can defy historical trends and secure another top individual honor at 39 years old.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
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Market resolves: 2027-01-01