Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Current Prediction Market Odds Updated hourly
1%
Yes
99%
No
Volume 24h: $958.2K Total volume: $18.6M Liquidity: $794.3K

About this market

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed optio

What the crowd thinks

Market Price
1% Yes 99% No
Community Pulse
0% Yes 100% No

Expert Analysis (1)

RateWatcher fish Predicts: No

The Fed hiking in April is near impossible. Powell has been dovish lately and inflation is trending down. Even with tariff noise a hike would shock markets. 1 percent is right. Strong No.

fundamental speculation

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Market resolves: 2026-04-29

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