Prediction Markets

50 live markets • Updated hourly • Odds from Polymarket & Kalshi

Strategy signals Any signal 6 Needs confirmation 6 Open playbook →
Investment insight

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Contrarian YES watch, not a default buy. YES 12.5% · Research watch

Open insight Research desk Market
All Geopolitics Politics Sports
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics
2%
Yes
98%
No
$784.9K
Polymarket Kalshi
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Economics Needs confirmation
55%
Yes
46%
No
$623.2K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics
36%
Yes
64%
No
$547.5K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Economics
62%
Yes
38%
No
$443.1K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?
Economics
36%
Up
64%
Down
$215.9K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?
Economics
7%
Up
93%
Down
$215.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?
Economics
30%
Up
70%
Down
$211.3K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?
Economics
7%
Up
93%
Down
$200.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 24?
Economics
5%
Up
95%
Down
$195.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 15?
Economics
97%
Up
3%
Down
$187.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Economics
2%
Yes
98%
No
$186.6K
Polymarket Kalshi
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Economics
76%
Yes
24%
No
$180.5K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?
Economics
94%
Up
6%
Down
$171.4K
Polymarket Kalshi
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Economics
1%
Yes
99%
No
$166.3K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?
Economics
28%
Up
72%
Down
$160.4K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Economics
60%
Yes
40%
No
$121.2K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Economics
92%
Yes
8%
No
$116.6K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Economics
66%
Yes
34%
No
$87.8K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?
Economics
99%
Up
1%
Down
$84.4K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Economics
86%
Yes
14%
No
$81.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
Economics
76%
Up
24%
Down
$78.4K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
Economics
10%
Up
90%
Down
$71.8K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Economics
3%
Yes
97%
No
$68.8K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?
Economics
99%
Up
1%
Down
$66.6K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Economics
10%
Yes
90%
No
$61.3K
Polymarket Kalshi
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Economics
24%
Yes
76%
No
$51.4K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Economics
16%
Yes
84%
No
$51.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?
Economics
2%
Yes
98%
No
$44.8K
Polymarket Kalshi
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Economics
48%
Yes
52%
No
$44.6K
Polymarket Kalshi
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
Economics
3%
Yes
97%
No
$43.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?
Economics
2%
Yes
98%
No
$40.5K
Polymarket Kalshi
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Economics
99%
Yes
1%
No
$38.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?
Economics
70%
Up
30%
Down
$32.1K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?
Economics
94%
Yes
6%
No
$31.6K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?
Economics
84%
Yes
16%
No
$29.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?
Economics
97%
Yes
3%
No
$23.8K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?
Economics
2%
Yes
98%
No
$23.2K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Economics
1%
Yes
99%
No
$22.6K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?
Economics
79%
Up
21%
Down
$18.8K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?
Economics
98%
Yes
2%
No
$18.1K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?
Economics
5%
Yes
95%
No
$16.7K
Polymarket Kalshi
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Economics
42%
Yes
57%
No
$15.2K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?
Economics
94%
Yes
6%
No
$15.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
Brex IPO before 2027?
Economics
3%
Yes
97%
No
$13.8K
Polymarket Kalshi
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Economics
57%
Yes
42%
No
$13.2K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 8?
Economics
98%
Yes
2%
No
$13.0K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Economics
92%
Yes
8%
No
$12.6K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 30?
Economics
99%
Yes
1%
No
$12.5K
Polymarket Kalshi
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?
Economics
5%
Yes
95%
No
$12.4K
Polymarket Kalshi
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?
Economics
35%
Yes
65%
No
$12.4K
Polymarket Kalshi
↔
Compare Odds
Polymarket vs Kalshi
🏆
Leaderboard
Top predictors
📊
Start predicting
Build your reputation

Get the edge — weekly

Top divergences, biggest movers, and survey insights. No spam.