Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
8%
Yes
92%
No
Volume 24h: $354.3K
Total volume: $25.2M
Liquidity: $525.2K
:
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally diff
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Market resolves: 2026-12-31