Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
16%
Yes
84%
No
Volume 24h: $222.8K
Total volume: $65.8M
Liquidity: $574.3K
implies vs. airstrikes
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Think you have an edge? Share your analysis or trade this market.
Market resolves: 2027-01-01