Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
11%
Yes
89%
No
Volume 24h: $164.5K
Total volume: $275.8K
Liquidity: $12.8K
About this market
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards t
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Market resolves: 2026-12-31