Reviewed outcome · live execution

Gavin Newsom: best executable price across Polymarket and Kalshi

Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Both rule sets were fingerprint-pinned and reviewed on 2026-08-01; the ranking below walks current depth and includes estimated taker fees.

All-in order size

$100 including estimated fees

Buy Yes

Best current all-in venue

Kalshi

11.34% lower

polymarket

16.74¢

597.26 shares · fee $3.24

kalshi

14.84¢

673.00 shares · fee $5.68

At this budget, the lower effective price buys 75.74 additional payout units if Yes settles at 1.

Open Kalshi → Rules + complete fills Share + price alert

Buy No

Best current all-in venue

Polymarket

3.82% lower

polymarket

84.44¢

118.43 shares · fee $0.64

kalshi

87.80¢

113.00 shares · fee $0.90

At this budget, the lower effective price buys 5.43 additional payout units if No settles at 1.

Open Polymarket → Rules + complete fills Share + price alert

Why these contracts are comparable

Both rules require the named individual to win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination; venue expiry differs by 15 hours.

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The full Router covers 22 reviewed Polymarket–Kalshi pairs and quotes both sides live.

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Why these contracts are comparable

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