Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?
With "Yes" priced at 96%, the market has effectively priced in this outcome, offering an unappealing ~4% return that ties up capital against catastrophic tail risk. Investors should either avoid the low upside of the "Yes" side or, if holding a contrarian macro view, allocate a small speculative hedge to "No" for an asymmetric 24:1 payout.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that thi
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Market resolves: 2026-10-16