Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?
Priced at 93%, the "Yes" contract offers an unattractive risk-to-reward ratio with only a 7.5% potential payout, making capital lockup inefficient against the tail risk of Bitcoin's typical short-term volatility. Investors should avoid buying "Yes" and instead look to either short the market if Bitcoin’s spot price is currently lingering near the $82,000 strike, or allocate capital to higher-yield opportunities given the decent $184k daily liquidity.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that thi
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Market resolves: 2026-10-13