Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?
Given the strong $139k liquidity and market-implied 97% probability of failure, selling "Yes" shares or buying "No" provides a low-risk, albeit low-yield, capital-parking opportunity. Investors seeking asymmetric upside should only buy "Yes" as an ultra-cheap tail-risk hedge against an unprecedented, near-term Bitcoin supply shock.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is
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Market resolves: 2026-10-01