Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
This market is severely mispriced, as predicting a hyper-specific tweet range nearly two years in advance is fundamentally unpredictable, making a 97% "Yes" probability absurd. Investors should strongly consider buying the underpriced "No" shares at 3% to capture an asymmetric risk-reward opportunity or exploit the high 24-hour volume for an arbitrage exit.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured
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Market resolves: 2026-10-02