Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
This market currently presents a strong "No" consensus at 92%, suggesting a low perceived probability of Putin's removal by 2026; investors seeking a high-risk, high-reward contrarian play might consider a small "Yes" position if they possess specific, non-public information suggesting a plausible near-term regime change, otherwise, the market indicates it's not a compelling "Yes" investment at this time. The substantial daily volume ($217,642) suggests significant interest and liquidity, making it a viable market for taking either side of the bet without major slippage if your analysis differs from the crowd.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position
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Market resolves: 2026-12-31