Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
The market strongly indicates a low probability (9%) of Farage securing 60-70% of the vote in Clacton, suggesting investors should avoid "Yes" positions. Given the high volume and strong consensus, consider this a reliable signal that such a landslide victory is unlikely, and focus your research on other potential outcomes or candidates with more balanced odds.
About this market
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are no
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Market resolves: 2027-06-30