Cymraeg

Betiau Polymarket: ymchwil yn Gymraeg

Thesis cyhoeddus VoxOdds gyda phris byw, traciwr, triggers a rheolau annilysu. Ciw ymchwil ydynt, nid argymhellion prynu awtomatig.

English index Edge
Insights
13
Localized pages
91
gwyliad
13
Live odds
YES/NO
Ieithoedd: English English Català Euskera 粵語 Polski Galego Cymraeg Gaeilge
Gwyliad ymchwil Daearyddwleidyddiaeth YES gwyliad

A fydd traffig Culfor Hormuz yn dychwelyd i normal cyn 15 Mai?

Dim ond os bydd traffig yn normaleiddio'n ddigon cyflym i IMF PortWatch argraffu cyfartaledd symudol 7 diwrnod o o leiaf 60 galwad cyn 15 Mai 2026 y mae gan YES upside convex.

Cyfeirnod
YES 14.5%
Nawr
YES 9.5%
Symudiad
-5.0 pp
Traciwr ymchwil
Gwyliad, nid pryniant diofyn
YES
9.5%
NO
90.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Geopolitics YES gwyliad

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 62.0% / NO 38.0% with a setup score of 85/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 62.0%
Nawr
YES 62.0%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
62.0%
NO
38.0%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Economics YES gwyliad

Fed rate hike in 2026?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 54.5% / NO 45.5% with a setup score of 94/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 54.5%
Nawr
YES 54.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
54.5%
NO
45.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets NO gwyliad

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 47.5% / NO 52.5% with a setup score of 93/100.

Cyfeirnod
NO 52.5%
Nawr
NO 52.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
47.5%
NO
52.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Geopolitics NO gwyliad

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -36.0pp across 48 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 39.5% / NO 60.5% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
NO 60.5%
Nawr
NO 60.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
39.5%
NO
60.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets NO gwyliad

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -14.0pp across 31 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 60.5% / NO 39.5% with a setup score of 88/100.

Cyfeirnod
NO 39.5%
Nawr
NO 39.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
60.5%
NO
39.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Politics YES gwyliad

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 1.1%
Nawr
YES 1.1%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Politics YES gwyliad

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 14.8% / NO 85.2% with a setup score of 82/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 14.8%
Nawr
YES 14.8%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
14.8%
NO
85.2%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Politics YES gwyliad

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +55.8pp across 11 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 96.0% / NO 4.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 96.0%
Nawr
YES 96.0%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
96.0%
NO
4.0%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Politics YES gwyliad

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 1.1%
Nawr
YES 1.1%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Darllen y thesis
These are research notes, not individualized financial advice.
Any market can resolve to zero; size positions so a total loss is acceptable.
Rules beat headlines. Always check resolution criteria before sizing.

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