Cymraeg

Betiau Polymarket: ymchwil yn Gymraeg

Thesis cyhoeddus VoxOdds gyda phris byw, traciwr, triggers a rheolau annilysu. Ciw ymchwil ydynt, nid argymhellion prynu awtomatig.

English index Edge
Insights
20
Localized pages
140
gwyliad
20
Live odds
YES/NO
Ieithoedd: English English Català Euskera 粵語 Polski Galego Cymraeg Gaeilge
Gwyliad ymchwil Daearyddwleidyddiaeth YES gwyliad

A fydd traffig Culfor Hormuz yn dychwelyd i normal cyn 15 Mai?

Dim ond os bydd traffig yn normaleiddio'n ddigon cyflym i IMF PortWatch argraffu cyfartaledd symudol 7 diwrnod o o leiaf 60 galwad cyn 15 Mai 2026 y mae gan YES upside convex.

Cyfeirnod
YES 14.5%
Nawr
YES 19.5%
Symudiad
+5.0 pp
Traciwr ymchwil
Gwyliad, nid pryniant diofyn
YES
19.5%
NO
80.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Geopolitics YES gwyliad

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 62.0% / NO 38.0% with a setup score of 85/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 62.0%
Nawr
YES 62.0%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
62.0%
NO
38.0%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets YES gwyliad

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +17.0pp across 47 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 33.5% / NO 66.5% with a setup score of 97/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 33.5%
Nawr
YES 33.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
33.5%
NO
66.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Economics YES gwyliad

Fed rate hike in 2026?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 54.5% / NO 45.5% with a setup score of 94/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 54.5%
Nawr
YES 54.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
54.5%
NO
45.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets YES gwyliad

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +56.5pp across 47 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 65.5% / NO 34.5% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 65.5%
Nawr
YES 65.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
65.5%
NO
34.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets YES gwyliad

LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +22.3pp across 19 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 95.0% / NO 5.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 95.0%
Nawr
YES 95.0%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
95.0%
NO
5.0%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets YES gwyliad

LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +32.6pp across 36 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 86.9% / NO 13.2% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 86.9%
Nawr
YES 86.9%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
86.9%
NO
13.2%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets YES gwyliad

LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +40.0pp across 48 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 66.5% / NO 33.5% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 66.5%
Nawr
YES 66.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
66.5%
NO
33.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets NO gwyliad

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 37.5% / NO 62.5% with a setup score of 83/100.

Cyfeirnod
NO 62.5%
Nawr
NO 62.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
37.5%
NO
62.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Geopolitics NO gwyliad

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 40.5% / NO 59.5% with a setup score of 87/100.

Cyfeirnod
NO 59.5%
Nawr
NO 59.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
40.5%
NO
59.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Crypto YES gwyliad

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 57.0% / NO 43.0% with a setup score of 87/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 57.0%
Nawr
YES 57.0%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
57.0%
NO
43.0%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Prediction markets NO gwyliad

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -14.0pp across 31 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 60.5% / NO 39.5% with a setup score of 88/100.

Cyfeirnod
NO 39.5%
Nawr
NO 39.5%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
60.5%
NO
39.5%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Politics YES gwyliad

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 1.1%
Nawr
YES 1.1%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Politics YES gwyliad

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 14.8% / NO 85.2% with a setup score of 82/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 14.8%
Nawr
YES 14.8%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
14.8%
NO
85.2%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Politics YES gwyliad

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +55.8pp across 11 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 96.0% / NO 4.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 96.0%
Nawr
YES 96.0%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
96.0%
NO
4.0%
Darllen y thesis
Research watch Politics YES gwyliad

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Cyfeirnod
YES 1.1%
Nawr
YES 1.1%
Symudiad
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Darllen y thesis
These are research notes, not individualized financial advice.
Any market can resolve to zero; size positions so a total loss is acceptable.
Rules beat headlines. Always check resolution criteria before sizing.

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