Gaeilge

Geallta Polymarket: taighde as Gaeilge

Thesisí poiblí VoxOdds le praghas beo, rianaire, triggers agus rialacha neamhbhailíochtaithe. Is smaointe taighde iad, ní moltaí ceannaigh uathoibríocha.

English index Edge
Insights
13
Localized pages
91
faireachán
13
Live odds
YES/NO
Teangacha: English English Català Euskera 粵語 Polski Galego Cymraeg Gaeilge
Faireachán taighde Geopholaitíocht YES faireachán

An bhfillfidh trácht Chaolas Hormuz ar an ngnáth roimh 15 Bealtaine?

Níl upside convex ag YES ach má normalóidh an trácht sách tapa chun go dtaispeánfaidh IMF PortWatch meán gluaisteach 7 lá de 60 glao ar a laghad roimh 15 Bealtaine 2026.

Tagairt
YES 14.5%
Anois
YES 9.5%
Gluaiseacht
-5.0 pp
Rianaire taighde
Faireachán, ní ceannach réamhshocraithe
YES
9.5%
NO
90.5%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Geopolitics YES faireachán

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 62.0% / NO 38.0% with a setup score of 85/100.

Tagairt
YES 62.0%
Anois
YES 62.0%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
62.0%
NO
38.0%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Economics YES faireachán

Fed rate hike in 2026?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 54.5% / NO 45.5% with a setup score of 94/100.

Tagairt
YES 54.5%
Anois
YES 54.5%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
54.5%
NO
45.5%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Prediction markets NO faireachán

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 47.5% / NO 52.5% with a setup score of 93/100.

Tagairt
NO 52.5%
Anois
NO 52.5%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
47.5%
NO
52.5%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Geopolitics NO faireachán

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -36.0pp across 48 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 39.5% / NO 60.5% with a setup score of 100/100.

Tagairt
NO 60.5%
Anois
NO 60.5%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
39.5%
NO
60.5%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Prediction markets NO faireachán

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -14.0pp across 31 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 60.5% / NO 39.5% with a setup score of 88/100.

Tagairt
NO 39.5%
Anois
NO 39.5%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
60.5%
NO
39.5%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Politics YES faireachán

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Tagairt
YES 1.1%
Anois
YES 1.1%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Politics YES faireachán

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 14.8% / NO 85.2% with a setup score of 82/100.

Tagairt
YES 14.8%
Anois
YES 14.8%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
14.8%
NO
85.2%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Politics YES faireachán

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +55.8pp across 11 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 96.0% / NO 4.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Tagairt
YES 96.0%
Anois
YES 96.0%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
96.0%
NO
4.0%
Léigh an thesis
Research watch Politics YES faireachán

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Tagairt
YES 1.1%
Anois
YES 1.1%
Gluaiseacht
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Léigh an thesis
These are research notes, not individualized financial advice.
Any market can resolve to zero; size positions so a total loss is acceptable.
Rules beat headlines. Always check resolution criteria before sizing.

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