Galego

Apostas Polymarket: investigación en galego

Teses públicas de VoxOdds con prezo vivo, tracker, triggers e invalidación. Son ideas de investigación, non sinais automáticos de compra.

English index Edge
Insights
13
Localized pages
91
vixilancia
13
Live odds
YES/NO
Idiomas: English English Català Euskera 粵語 Polski Galego Cymraeg Gaeilge
Vixilancia de investigación Xeopolítica YES vixilancia

Volverá o tráfico do estreito de Ormuz á normalidade antes do 15 de maio?

O SI só ten convexidade alcista se o tráfico se normaliza o bastante rápido para que IMF PortWatch publique unha media móbil de 7 días de polo menos 60 chamadas antes do 15 de maio de 2026.

Referencia
YES 14.5%
Agora
YES 9.5%
Movemento
-5.0 pp
Tracker de investigación
Vixilancia, non compra por defecto
YES
9.5%
NO
90.5%
Ler a tese
Research watch Geopolitics YES vixilancia

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 62.0% / NO 38.0% with a setup score of 85/100.

Referencia
YES 62.0%
Agora
YES 62.0%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
62.0%
NO
38.0%
Ler a tese
Research watch Economics YES vixilancia

Fed rate hike in 2026?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 54.5% / NO 45.5% with a setup score of 94/100.

Referencia
YES 54.5%
Agora
YES 54.5%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
54.5%
NO
45.5%
Ler a tese
Research watch Prediction markets NO vixilancia

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 47.5% / NO 52.5% with a setup score of 93/100.

Referencia
NO 52.5%
Agora
NO 52.5%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
47.5%
NO
52.5%
Ler a tese
Research watch Geopolitics NO vixilancia

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -36.0pp across 48 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 39.5% / NO 60.5% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencia
NO 60.5%
Agora
NO 60.5%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
39.5%
NO
60.5%
Ler a tese
Research watch Politics YES vixilancia

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Kalshi. Current market pricing is roughly YES 20.5% / NO 79.5% with a setup score of 99/100.

Referencia
YES 20.5%
Agora
YES 20.5%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
20.5%
NO
79.5%
Ler a tese
Research watch Prediction markets NO vixilancia

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -14.0pp across 31 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 60.5% / NO 39.5% with a setup score of 88/100.

Referencia
NO 39.5%
Agora
NO 39.5%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
60.5%
NO
39.5%
Ler a tese
Research watch Politics YES vixilancia

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencia
YES 1.1%
Agora
YES 1.1%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Ler a tese
Research watch Politics YES vixilancia

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 14.8% / NO 85.2% with a setup score of 82/100.

Referencia
YES 14.8%
Agora
YES 14.8%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
14.8%
NO
85.2%
Ler a tese
Research watch Politics YES vixilancia

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +55.8pp across 11 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 96.0% / NO 4.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencia
YES 96.0%
Agora
YES 96.0%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
96.0%
NO
4.0%
Ler a tese
Research watch Economics NO vixilancia

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 35.5% / NO 64.5% with a setup score of 87/100.

Referencia
NO 64.5%
Agora
NO 64.5%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
35.5%
NO
64.5%
Ler a tese
Research watch Economics YES vixilancia

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 55.5% / NO 44.5% with a setup score of 93/100.

Referencia
YES 55.5%
Agora
YES 55.5%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
55.5%
NO
44.5%
Ler a tese
Research watch Politics YES vixilancia

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencia
YES 1.1%
Agora
YES 1.1%
Movemento
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Ler a tese
These are research notes, not individualized financial advice.
Any market can resolve to zero; size positions so a total loss is acceptable.
Rules beat headlines. Always check resolution criteria before sizing.

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