Polski

Zakłady Polymarket: research po polsku

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English index Edge
Insights
13
Localized pages
91
obserwacja
13
Live odds
YES/NO
Języki: English English Català Euskera 粵語 Polski Galego Cymraeg Gaeilge
Obserwacja badawcza Geopolityka YES obserwacja

Czy ruch przez cieśninę Ormuz wróci do normy przed 15 maja?

YES ma wypukły potencjał wzrostowy tylko wtedy, gdy ruch znormalizuje się na tyle szybko, by IMF PortWatch pokazał 7-dniową średnią co najmniej 60 zawinięć przed 15 maja 2026 r.

Referencja
YES 14.5%
Teraz
YES 9.5%
Ruch
-5.0 pp
Tracker badawczy
Obserwacja, nie domyślny zakup
YES
9.5%
NO
90.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Geopolitics YES obserwacja

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 62.0% / NO 38.0% with a setup score of 85/100.

Referencja
YES 62.0%
Teraz
YES 62.0%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
62.0%
NO
38.0%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Economics YES obserwacja

Fed rate hike in 2026?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 54.5% / NO 45.5% with a setup score of 94/100.

Referencja
YES 54.5%
Teraz
YES 54.5%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
54.5%
NO
45.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Prediction markets NO obserwacja

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 47.5% / NO 52.5% with a setup score of 93/100.

Referencja
NO 52.5%
Teraz
NO 52.5%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
47.5%
NO
52.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Geopolitics NO obserwacja

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -36.0pp across 48 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 39.5% / NO 60.5% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencja
NO 60.5%
Teraz
NO 60.5%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
39.5%
NO
60.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Prediction markets NO obserwacja

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: NO moved -14.0pp across 31 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 60.5% / NO 39.5% with a setup score of 88/100.

Referencja
NO 39.5%
Teraz
NO 39.5%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
60.5%
NO
39.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Politics YES obserwacja

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencja
YES 1.1%
Teraz
YES 1.1%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Politics YES obserwacja

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 14.8% / NO 85.2% with a setup score of 82/100.

Referencja
YES 14.8%
Teraz
YES 14.8%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
14.8%
NO
85.2%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Politics YES obserwacja

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES moved +55.8pp across 11 recent snapshots. Current market pricing is roughly YES 96.0% / NO 4.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencja
YES 96.0%
Teraz
YES 96.0%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Find the catalyst before chasing; skip if the move is only thin-liquidity drift
YES
96.0%
NO
4.0%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Economics NO obserwacja

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

NO is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 35.5% / NO 64.5% with a setup score of 87/100.

Referencja
NO 64.5%
Teraz
NO 64.5%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
35.5%
NO
64.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Economics YES obserwacja

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing. Current market pricing is roughly YES 55.5% / NO 44.5% with a setup score of 93/100.

Referencja
YES 55.5%
Teraz
YES 55.5%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side
YES
55.5%
NO
44.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Politics YES obserwacja

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencja
YES 1.1%
Teraz
YES 1.1%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Czytaj tezę
These are research notes, not individualized financial advice.
Any market can resolve to zero; size positions so a total loss is acceptable.
Rules beat headlines. Always check resolution criteria before sizing.

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