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Zakłady Polymarket: research po polsku

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English index Edge
Insights
8
Localized pages
56
obserwacja
8
Live odds
YES/NO
Języki: English English Català Euskera 粵語 Polski Galego Cymraeg Gaeilge
Obserwacja badawcza Geopolityka YES obserwacja

Czy ruch przez cieśninę Ormuz wróci do normy przed 15 maja?

YES ma wypukły potencjał wzrostowy tylko wtedy, gdy ruch znormalizuje się na tyle szybko, by IMF PortWatch pokazał 7-dniową średnią co najmniej 60 zawinięć przed 15 maja 2026 r.

Referencja
YES 14.5%
Teraz
YES 2.5%
Ruch
-12.0 pp
Tracker badawczy
Obserwacja, nie domyślny zakup
YES
2.5%
NO
97.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch World Cup YES obserwacja

Argentina to Repeat as World Cup Champion — The Defending-Champion Discount

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: The reigning world champion trades at ~8.5% — fifth in the market — largely because no nation has repeated since Brazil in 1962.. Current market pricing is roughly YES 8.6% / NO 91.5% with a setup score of 55/100.

Referencja
YES 8.6%
Teraz
YES 8.6%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Research whether the structural repeat discount overshoots for a champion playing a quasi-home tournament in the Americas.
YES
8.6%
NO
91.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch World Cup YES obserwacja

Mexico to Win Group A — Host Advantage the Market May Still Underprice

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: The host opens the tournament at Estadio Azteca against the weakest seed in its group, yet is priced at only ~57% to top Group A.. Current market pricing is roughly YES 56.5% / NO 43.5% with a setup score of 58/100.

Referencja
YES 56.5%
Teraz
YES 56.5%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Track the opener vs South Africa on June 11 — a win likely reprices the group market quickly.
YES
56.5%
NO
43.5%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch World Cup YES obserwacja

Spain to Win the 2026 World Cup — A Favorite at a Historic Discount

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: The consensus best team in the world is priced at just ~16% — the cheapest a World Cup favorite has ever traded on prediction markets.. Current market pricing is roughly YES 16.2% / NO 83.8% with a setup score of 62/100.

Referencja
YES 16.2%
Teraz
YES 16.2%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Research whether the 48-team format really adds as much variance for elite teams as the price implies.
YES
16.2%
NO
83.8%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Politics YES obserwacja

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencja
YES 1.1%
Teraz
YES 1.1%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Politics YES obserwacja

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 14.8% / NO 85.2% with a setup score of 82/100.

Referencja
YES 14.8%
Teraz
YES 14.8%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
14.8%
NO
85.2%
Czytaj tezę
Research watch Politics YES obserwacja

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES is the side to research because VoxOdds Edge flags: YES is cheaper on Polymarket. Current market pricing is roughly YES 1.1% / NO 99.0% with a setup score of 100/100.

Referencja
YES 1.1%
Teraz
YES 1.1%
Ruch
+0.0 pp
Edge tracker
Interesting spread, but confirm blockers before sizing.
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Czytaj tezę
These are research notes, not individualized financial advice.
Any market can resolve to zero; size positions so a total loss is acceptable.
Rules beat headlines. Always check resolution criteria before sizing.

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